2<\/sup> is the variance of the underlying ETF.<\/p>\n\n\n\nYou can see that the exp(…) term will be negative for betas > 1, meaning that the change in the leveraged ETF is decaying based on the volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Let’s see if this formula is accurate in practice. From August 12, 2020 to August 12, 2021, the QQQ gained 40.0%, and TQQQ (the 3x ETF) gained 213.8%, so this equation should hold<\/p>\n\n\n\n
2.138 \u2248 (1.400)3<\/sup> * exp(.5(-6)\u03c32<\/sup>(252)) <\/p>\n\n\n\nwhere the variance of QQQ over that time is .01352<\/sup>. It turns out that the equation is roughly correct, although it diverges over longer time periods.<\/p>\n\n\n\nWhat’s clear from all of this is that there is significant decay in relation to the underlying ETF. But does that mean leveraged ETFs are bad long-term investments?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We leave that up to you to decide.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
In this article we will look at leveraged ETFs and how they act long-term (known as leveraged ETF decay). The conventional wisdom is that you should never hold a leveraged ETF for longer than the rebalance period (often one day), since there is significant decay in value over that time. But is this really true? […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":932,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/firemymoneymanager.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/945"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/firemymoneymanager.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/firemymoneymanager.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/firemymoneymanager.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/firemymoneymanager.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=945"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"https:\/\/firemymoneymanager.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/945\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1128,"href":"https:\/\/firemymoneymanager.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/945\/revisions\/1128"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/firemymoneymanager.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/932"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/firemymoneymanager.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=945"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/firemymoneymanager.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=945"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/firemymoneymanager.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=945"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}